markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=28.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket