markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-3.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Mexico (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=83.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30France leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'France leading at halftime?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=17.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Rodón strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket