markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=74.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brad Ausmus be the next Red Sox manager?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spread: United States (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-2.5)': YES=10.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02United States leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'United States leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket