markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=54.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=54.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=2.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=5.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?': YES=3.10%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=6.40%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=34.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.80%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=77.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%