markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Croatia Open: Marko Topo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun
Polymarket top market 'PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=76.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5': YES=92.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=29.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Shevchenko': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ODI Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=13.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarket