markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-15Spread: England (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-2.5)': YES=0.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=95.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=65.25%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=30.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=15.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=17.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket