markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?': YES=74.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?': YES=72.90%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?': YES=78.47%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=51.57%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=36.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?': YES=4.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 6.5': YES=6.00%