markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=50.55%

Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=96.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=3.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 5.5': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Athletics': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=11.10%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.25%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Hanne Vandewinkel': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.10%

Polymarket top market 'T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=96.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=87.00%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 4.5': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?': YES=3.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=4.30%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=1.90%