markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kings': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=74.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basiletti
Polymarket top market 'Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basiletti': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket