markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=92.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-26?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=6.10%

Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=96.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=65.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=18.90%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=75.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=97.60%

Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=25.00%