markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-30Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-07-29?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?': YES=94.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-29?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=92.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=88.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=42.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Tatjana Maria vs Renata Zarazua': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=99.90%
NRGmarket:polymarket - 2026-07-30Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=91.50%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=17.30%
market:polymarket