markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Metro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Glamorgan': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=65.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicak': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket