markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Gabriel Debru
Polymarket top market 'Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Gabriel Debru': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=92.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket