markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ferencvarosi Budapest win on 2026-08-02?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02LGD Gaming to win 2-0?
Polymarket top market 'LGD Gaming to win 2-0?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=42.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket