markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.01%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA release an RTX 5080 Ti?': YES=8.47%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=98.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by August 15?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=98.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=84.40%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=65.00%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will GameStop acquire eBay?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?': YES=77.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Denis Klok vs Laurence Teunissen': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.50%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=85.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-04?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 4?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs': YES=81.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=65.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=80.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.10%