markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 6?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Panthers (-1.5)': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Rodri join Barcelona?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri join Barcelona?': YES=86.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-06?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=23.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Lexington: Andres Martin vs Millen Hurrion': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BoostGate Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Miles Johns vs. Jessie Rosas (Featherweight, Main Card)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Panthers vs. Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Panthers vs. Cardinals': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-06?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket