markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-08?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-08?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket