markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=96.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?': YES=16.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Colin Sinclair': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Astana: Amir Omarkhanov vs Beibit Zhukayev': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?': YES=96.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Polymarket top market 'Will GameStop acquire eBay?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket