markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=77.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5
Polymarket top market 'DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anna Bondar': YES=76.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=22.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkaya
Polymarket top market 'Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkaya': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket