markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-19San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
Polymarket top market 'Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=19.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Cancun: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinka
Polymarket top market 'Cancun: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinka': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=32.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket