markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-19LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery
Polymarket top market 'Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo
Polymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cancun: Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Alves': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Xinyu Wang': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket