markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 20?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=97.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?': YES=75.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Ethereum Up or Down on August 20?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 20?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?': YES=51.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=33.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?': YES=26.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=22.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=9.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?': YES=74.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=9.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=28.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?': YES=20.60%
market:polymarket