markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=85.99%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=59.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=44.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=45.18%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=23.19%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=97.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?': YES=6.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=27.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=80.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 19?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=16.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?': YES=7.70%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 20?': YES=99.50%

Polymarket top market 'Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.80%