markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=85.99%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=23.19%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=68.45%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Games Total: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=43.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=83.00%

Polymarket top market 'Commanders vs. Lions': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 22?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=23.40%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=17.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=5.90%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fils': YES=30.00%