markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=24.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=44.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket