markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-24Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevez
Polymarket top market 'Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevez': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=23.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldanius': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heide': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=73.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykh': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket