markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-04Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=36.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-04Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket