markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-05-31Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=72.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=19.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket