markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.60%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.33%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=72.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia announce an N1/N1X Windows-on-Arm PC chip at its June 1 Computex keynote?': YES=99.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=11.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.30%

Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?': YES=94.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=7.70%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?': YES=76.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=8.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=17.90%

Polymarket top market 'Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.70%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?': YES=36.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.30%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.60%