markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-02Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket