markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?': YES=94.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket