markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?': YES=32.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=28.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=21.20%

Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?': YES=53.70%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=5.80%

Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?': YES=14.80%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=96.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=98.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%