markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-05Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=36.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket