markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.65%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=65.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=19.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=8.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=23.20%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?': YES=99.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Canada (-3.5)': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=3.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Canada (-1.5)': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=6.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs': YES=62.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Didier Fuentes win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?': YES=0.10%