markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Spread: Canada (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Canada (-1.5)': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=22.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket