markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=46.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=84.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-01?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket