markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Shuai Zhang': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=46.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brad Ausmus be the next Red Sox manager?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=85.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Rodón strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket