markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Rodón strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?': YES=93.60%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=95.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket