markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-25Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 24?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.20%
GOOGLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-25Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5': YES=74.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=25.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=72.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Mark Lajal': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Monday': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Winnipeg: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals': YES=95.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket