markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-06?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-06?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=43.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-06?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimova': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=96.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
Polymarket top market 'Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket