markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=48.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=65.73%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.01%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.37%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Thailand win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 8?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=4.30%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-08?': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?': YES=6.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-08?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6': YES=98.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=93.00%

Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=65.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%