markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
- 2026-05-30Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?': YES=99.90%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=25.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=32.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket