markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Spread: Senegal (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Senegal (-2.5)': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brad Ausmus be the next Red Sox manager?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Senegal leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Senegal leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: Senegal (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Senegal (-1.5)': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-1.5)': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?': YES=99.80%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket