markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-27Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=46.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=73.40%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=96.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=30.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?': YES=95.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=99.90%
CIRCLEmarket:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=27.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=85.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=81.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket