signal type · other
talent movement
Every published talent movement signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh talent movement calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
49
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a talent movement signal?
A talent movement signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged talent_movement by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published talent movement signal
2026-08-12 · OPENAI · down · high
Brad Lightcap, OpenAI's former COO and most recently special projects lead, announced his departure on August 11, 2026,...
2026-08-10 · GOOGL · down · medium
Google's AI leadership is in flux: Demis Hassabis has stepped back from day-to-day operations at DeepMind, and the...
2026-08-08 · GOOGL · down · medium
Google's AI organization absorbed a double shock this week: DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis stepped down on Wednesday (Aug...
2026-08-07 · GOOGL · down · high
Alphabet's 8/6 bond sale raised $25B with ~$115B of peak demand, and the company told investors it will issue US debt...
2026-08-06 · GOOGL · down · high
On August 5, 2026, Google announced a major reshuffle of its AI leadership: chief scientist Jeff Dean is leaving after...
2026-08-05 · SCALEAI · down · low
A single source from Y Combinator's Startup School video indicates that Scale AI founder Alexandr Wang is now leading...
2026-07-30 · PERPLEXITY · down · low
A former Perplexity employee who worked on its Comet browser has launched a competing AI-first browser startup, Polar,...
2026-07-04 · AMD · down · medium
AMD has lost a key engineering executive to Marvell, which is aggressively expanding its custom silicon business for...
2026-06-29 · DATABRICKS · up · medium
Databricks has posted a surge of job openings across the globe, with a heavy focus on AI engineering and go-to-market...
2026-06-28 · DATABRICKS · up · low
Databricks has posted a large batch of job openings across the globe, including multiple Forward Deployed Engineer (AI)...
2026-06-28 · DATABRICKS · up · medium
Databricks is aggressively scaling its workforce with a flurry of new job postings across multiple geographies and...
2026-06-28 · DATABRICKS · up · low
Databricks has posted over 20 job openings across multiple geographies and functions, indicating continued investment...
2026-06-28 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
In a significant talent acquisition, Anthropic has poached two 'generational' AI scientists from Google within 48...
2026-06-27 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction markets indicate a 55.85% probability that SMIC's key executive Liang Mong-Song will leave the company...
2026-06-27 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction markets on Manifold indicate significant risk for SMIC.
2026-06-27 · DATABRICKS · up · medium
Databricks has published a wave of job openings on June 27, 2026, spanning AI Engineers (Forward Deployed Engineers) in...
2026-06-26 · DATABRICKS · up · low
Databricks has posted a surge of job openings globally, indicating expansion of its AI engineering and go-to-market...
2026-06-24 · GOOGL · down · low
On June 23, 2026, CNBC reported that Alphabet recorded its worst day in over a year following the departure of two AI...
2026-06-23 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets indicates a 55.85% probability that Liang Mong-Song, a key SMIC executive,...
2026-06-23 · SMIC · down · low
A Manifold prediction market indicates a 55.85% probability that Liang Mong-Song, a key engineer at SMIC, will leave...
2026-06-23 · DATABRICKS · up · low
Databricks has published numerous job openings in June 2026, including AI Forward Deployed Engineers, Account...
2026-06-23 · GOOGL · down · medium
On June 22, 2026, Bloomberg reported that Alphabet shares dropped following the departure of a second AI star to a...
2026-06-22 · GOOGL · down · low
Google has lost a key executive in its AI division: the Gemini co-lead and engineering VP has left to join OpenAI to...
2026-06-20 · DATABRICKS · up · low
Databricks has published over a dozen job listings in mid-June 2026 covering AI Forward Deployed Engineers, account...
2026-06-19 · INTC · up · medium
Intel (INTC) announced on June 18, 2026, the appointment of Seok-Hee Lee, former CEO of SK Hynix, as Executive Vice...
2026-06-19 · OPENAI · down · medium
Barret Zoph, who rejoined OpenAI in January 2026 as head of enterprise AI sales, has left the company again, as...
2026-06-18 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction market consensus on Manifold Markets indicates low probabilities for SMIC catching up to TSMC and achieving...
2026-06-18 · GOOGL · down · low
On June 18, 2026, Bloomberg reported that a star Google researcher has joined OpenAI, marking a significant talent loss...
2026-06-17 · BABA · down · low
On June 17, 2026, The Information reported that Junyang Lin, former lead researcher of Alibaba's Qwen AI models, has...
2026-06-16 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction markets indicate a 55.85% probability that Liang Mong-Song, a key SMIC engineer, will leave the company...
2026-06-16 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction markets indicate a 55.85% probability that Liang Mong-Song, a key SMIC executive, will leave the company...
2026-06-15 · SMIC · down · low
As of June 15, 2026, prediction market data from Manifold Markets indicates significant headwinds for SMIC.
2026-06-14 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction market data indicates low probability (18.8%) of SMIC outcompeting TSMC by 2033 (source: with even lower...
2026-06-14 · MRVL · up · medium
Marvell Technology (MRVL) has hired Adobe's CFO, signaling a major strategic shift toward AI expansion.
2026-06-13 · SMIC · down · low
A prediction market on Manifold shows a 55.85% probability that Liang Mong-Song, SMIC's top engineer, will work at a...
2026-06-13 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction markets indicate a very low probability that SMIC will outcompete TSMC in semiconductor manufacturing by...
2026-06-13 · MRVL · up · medium
Marvell Technology (MRVL) announced the appointment of Adobe CFO Dan Durn as its new CFO, effective June 15, 2026.
2026-06-13 · META · down · low
Reports from Wired and TechCrunch describe severe frustration inside Meta's three-month-old Applied AI team, which...
2026-06-10 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets indicates negative sentiment around SMIC's competitive position and key...
2026-06-09 · XAI · up · low
On June 9, 2026, xAI tapped a Starlink staffer to lead the Grok training team (source).
2026-06-09 · SMIC · down · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets indicates a 55.85% probability that SMIC co-founder and co-CEO Liang...
2026-06-06 · DATABRICKS · up · medium
Databricks has significantly ramped up hiring across multiple geographies and functions, indicating strong growth...
2026-06-05 · SMIC · down · low
Multiple prediction market consensus on Manifold Markets indicate strong pessimism about SMIC's ability to compete with...
2026-06-04 · DATABRICKS · up · low
Databricks has posted multiple AI Engineer - Forward Deployed Engineer positions in Seoul (source 2), London (source...
2026-06-03 · SMIC · down · low
Multiple Manifold prediction markets indicate low probability that SMIC will outcompete TSMC in advanced nodes by 2033...
2026-05-26 · BYTEDANCE · neutral · low
ByteDance is offering special stock to its AI team to retain talent amid poaching risks (FT).
2026-05-26 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
Anthropic has hired Andrej Karpathy, a prominent AI researcher formerly at OpenAI and Tesla, according to multiple...
2026-04-26 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
Anthropic is actively recruiting top talent from the software industry, with sources confirming hires from Salesforce [...
2026-04-25 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
Anthropic is poaching top executives from software giants like Salesforce, Snowflake, and Datadog, as reported by CNBC....