signal type · other
talent movement
Every published talent movement signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh talent movement calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
5
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a talent movement signal?
A talent movement signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged talent_movement by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published talent movement signal
2026-06-03 · SMIC · down · low
Multiple Manifold prediction markets indicate low probability that SMIC will outcompete TSMC in advanced nodes by 2033...
2026-05-26 · BYTEDANCE · neutral · low
ByteDance is offering special stock to its AI team to retain talent amid poaching risks (FT).
2026-05-26 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
Anthropic has hired Andrej Karpathy, a prominent AI researcher formerly at OpenAI and Tesla, according to multiple...
2026-04-26 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
Anthropic is actively recruiting top talent from the software industry, with sources confirming hires from Salesforce [...
2026-04-25 · ANTHROPIC · up · medium
Anthropic is poaching top executives from software giants like Salesforce, Snowflake, and Datadog, as reported by CNBC....